Iea world energy outlook 2016, helsinki, november 23, 2016. Opecs world oil outlook woo is part of the organizations commitment to market stability. Energy market projections are uncertain because the events that shape future developments in technology, demographic changes, economic trends, and resource availability that drive energy use are fluid. Pdf on oct 18, 2016, steve sawyer and others published global wind energy outlook 2016 find, read and cite all the research you need on researchgate. Each year we make a number of changes to neo as we strive to improve the completeness and complexity of our analysis. To achieve this, the role of nuclear energy must be expanded. At the same time, however, the expansion has become less balanced and may have peaked in some major economies. Weo 2016 examines how a postparis world redefines the idea of energy security, particularly in the power sector, the frontline in the fight against climate change. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication. World energy outlook 2016 sees renewables and natural gas.
The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive analysis of what this transformation of the. The international energy outlook 2016 ieo2016 presents an assessment by the u. Asean has the third largest demand growth, after china and india. Since the world energy council last published its world energy scenarios in 2016, we have experienced three years of comparatively high, carboncentric energy demand and a marked acceleration in renewable energy developments. Energy intensity is improving across major economies, but the rate of change and relationship to energy demand varies.
In key world energy statistics kwes, we look to highlight some of the key facts and trends from. Downloads are a mix of pdf, excel, csv and powerpoint documents. Outlook, the world primary energy consumption increases at an annual rate of 1. It does not aim to forecast the future, but provides a way of exploring different possible futures, the levers that bring them about and the interactions that arise across a complex energy system. The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive analysis of what this transformation of the energy sector might look like, thanks to its energy projections to 2040. The world energy outlook 2015 weo2015 will present updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well as detailed insights on the prospects for fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency and analysis on trends in co2 emissions and fossil. A new pattern of geostrategic competition is emerging that is further straining the. The global energy landscape is evolving at a rapid pace, reshaping longheld expectations for our energy future.
This years energy outlook provides fresh insight into these trends and many more. World energy outlook 2018 international energy agency. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. Our harmony vision sets a target for gwe of new nuclear capacity to be added by 2050, so that nuclear would supply about 25% of global electricity. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency iea, to present the ieas world energy outlook 2016. The iea releases the world energy outlook weo2016 this week.
New energy outlook 2019 bloomberg new energy finance. Weo2016 examines how a postparis world redefines the idea of energy security, particularly in the power sector, the frontline in the fight against climate change. Poor peoples energy outlook 2016 practical action policy. World energy outlook weo takes up in different scenarios and case studies, with the additional opportunity in 2016 to provide the first. World energy outlook 2016 analysis and key findings.
The csis energy national security program is pleased to host dr. The baseline is the current policies scenario c ps. This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels. World energy outlook 2016 executive summary english. Africa energy outlook a focus on energy prospects in sub. We use your linkedin profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads.
The 2016 edition was released in november and is almost 700 pages long. The weo 2016 includes a particular focus on the following topical issues. Energy information administration eia of the outlook for international energy markets through 2040. Feb 14, 2017 the worlds energy needs continue to grow, but many millions are left behind in our main scenario, a 30% rise in global energy demand to 2040 means an increase in consumption for all modern. Two days later on 18 november, fatih birol presented weo2016 at the centre for strategic and international studies in washington. The value of the outlook is not in trying to predict the future. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Energy market shifts towards asi a 6 worlds primary energy demand global energy demand increases by 1. Will market dynamics change for oil, natural gas and coal or might the slump in prices for some fuels be here to stay. The steady expansion under way since mid2016 continues, with global growth for 201819 projected to remain at its 2017 level.
The weo2016 includes a particular focus on the following topical issues. The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive analysis of. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook. Global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive analysis of what this transformation of the energy sector might look like, thanks to. I would therefore like to thank duncan millard, the iea chief statistician and. Instead, we see this publication as an opportunity to identify and discuss the main energy issues that could arise. In 2016, the world energy council and its scenarios partners, accenture strategy energy and the paul scherrer institute, introduced the world energy scenarios which explore three plausible pathways for energy transition to.
A perspective to 2040 the outlook for energy is exxonmobil s view of energy demand and supply through 2040. The 2014 edition of the world energy outlook weo will incorporate all the latest data and developments to produce a comprehensive and authoritative analysis of medium and longerterm energy trends. The world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. Asiaworld energy outlook 2016 1 executive summary world energy supply and demand outlook demand over the next 26 years through 2040, the worlds population will increase by 1. International institute for applied systems analysis. Rather the value of the energy outlook is in providing a structure and discipline. Energy outlook downloads and archive energy economics bp. Weo2016 examines how a postparis world redefines the idea of energy security, particularly in the. Global energy use grows by 36%, with non oecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. Download the latest edition of the bp energy outlook, supporting resources or our country and regional insight factsheets. We use the outlook to help inform our longterm business strategies and investment plans. Our aim is not to foretell the future the uncertainties are too great for that. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. The publication is a means to highlight and further the understanding of the many possible future challenges and opportunities that lie ahead for the oil industry.
The international energy outlook 2016 was prepared by the u. Outlook for energy the outlook for energy is exxonmobil s latest view of energy demand and supply through 2040. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Asia is the final destination for around three quarters of oil, gas and coal traded inte rregionally. The paris agreement on climate change, which entered into force in november 2016, brings together countries representing almost all of the worlds greenhousegas. To download the entire publication in portable document format pdf. The world energy outlook 2016, released on 16 november, sheds light on all of these questions and more, all with the customary mix of rigorous quantitative modelling and insightful analysis. On 21 november it was the turn of the friends of europe in brussels to host dr birols. Poor peoples energy outlook 2017, financing national energy access. The world will remain heavily dependent on fossil fuels for 78% of its primary energy consumption in 2040. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate.
The weo proposes three potential scenarios for energy use between now and 2040. Primary energy demand, gdp and energy intensity in selected economies, 200017 energy use and intensity trends differ by country and region 60 80 100 120 140 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 european union. Jun 23, 2015 the world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special report in the 2014 world energy outlook series offers a most comprehensive analytical study of energy in africa, specifically in subsaharan africa, the epicentre of the global challenge to overcome energy poverty. The 2017 edition of the poor peoples energy outlook ppeo considers how to best finance national integrated energy access plans for bangladesh, kenya and togo based on the ppeo 2016 analysis. The landmark paris agreement on climate change will transform the global energy system for decades to come. The purpose of producing energy statistics is to use them to monitor changes in energy production and use, inform debate and provide a wider understanding of energy. Introduction in the reference scenario of ieejs outlook, the world primary energy consumption increases at an annual rate of 1. For many years the outlook for energy has helped inform exxonmobil s longterm business strategies, investment plans, and research programs. On 16 november 2016 the international energy agency iea presented its annual world energy outlook report weo2016. Ieas world energy outlook 2016 center for strategic and. Supplemental data for the outlook includes a detailed set of projections through the year 2050 for each of 16 major regions of the world. Challenges to steady growth october 3, 2018 description.
This years projections for different scenarios to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, cover all fuels, regions, and technologies. Any such attempt is doomed to fail the uncertainty surrounding the energy transition is here to stay. The negotiations there will be based on national pledges, formally known as intended nationally determined contributions, with the goal of setting the world on a sustainable path. It will complement a full set of energy projections which extend from today. Nov 18, 2016 the csis energy national security program is pleased to host dr. This is where the world energy outlook weo comes in. Oil will keep the largest share even in 2040, followed by natural gas and coal. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the ieas directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. World energy outlook 2014 world energy outlook 20 note. Comments on the iea world energy outlook 2016 request pdf.
We provide this numerical data in the hopes that researchers and policymakers will find them useful for their own analyses. In all the scenarios considered, world gdp more than doubles by 2040 driven by increasing prosperity in fastgrowing developing economies. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate change. Focused on the electricity system, our new energy outlook neo combines the expertise of over 65 market and technology specialists in 12 countries to provide a unique view of how the market will evolve. World energy outlook 2016 european parliament european union. Outlook energy indicators conversion factors glossary db 4 01092016 11. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business. Presentation on the occasion of the wec finlands breakfast meeting. The world energy outlook 1998, based on a new world energy model, considers energy demand and supply for ten world regions over the period to 2020. Nov 14, 2017 we use your linkedin profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads.
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